这里我们先定义三个数值计算方式:
估计康复率:康复数除以康复数与死亡数之和,该数值越高表明康复情况就越好
估计死亡率:死亡数除以康复数与死亡数之和,该数值越高表明康复情况就越差
估计置信度:康复数与死亡数之和除以确诊病例数,该数值表明上述两个数值的可信任程度,该数值越高表明这两个数值越接近真实值,并最终等于真实值
估计康复率不会受到短期确诊激增案例数影响,只会跟踪在经过一段时间的治疗后确诊患者要么死亡,要么康复,才会反映到该数值。在排除数据较少该数值数据波动大和在大数据的情况下,比如大于100的康复数或者死亡数的情况下,这个数值会比现在的康复率或者死亡率计算方式,能更快更早反映疾病的治疗情况。根据中国疫情的经验,在大数据的情况下,这个数值中期会处于低值,然后随着患者的减少,该数值会逐渐增大。
在大数据的情况下,分析这三个数值我们就会发现,该数值与天气温度有很大关联,天气温度较高且适宜(温度不能太高,温度太高人容易中暑),则康复情况较好,我们就会发现许多非洲大陆国家的情况甚至可能比美国要好。
比如我们以6月1日为分界,单单看美国死亡增长数据,也能得出在这之前的死亡情况要比这之后的要坏很多,使用上述数值计算方式对美国整体,各州和各地区的分段数据进行分析,也能得出同样的结果,这里还能发现疾病的另一个特征表现,在这之前的疾病病症较容易出现重症患者,而且表现病症都比较严重,之后容易出现轻症患者,甚至比之前更多的无症患者,症状的表现轻重程度,这也在某种程度上反应出患者身体免疫系统能力的高低。
以6月1日为分界对季节处于相反状况的澳大利亚的大数据进行分析,却得出了康复情况有些变糟糕的情况,这和全球趋势变好走了截然不同的道路。
当然假如能得到地区详细疫情情况,在大数据情况下,并分开统计在不同天气温度情况下,不同年龄段患者的康复时长与死亡时长,也可以得出同样的结果。
天气温度影响COVID-19疾病的情况,同样的现象甚至在SARS疾病表现更加得明显,假如我们针对其他很多疾病也做类似分析,也能得出同样的结果:在天气温度较高且适宜的情况康复情况好,在寒冷天气情况下康复情况差。
个人认为造成这些原因的是:天气温度会影响人体体温,人体体温和身体免疫系统能力有很大关联关系,天气温度对疾病数据的影响有一定的滞后性,人体对环境温度的舒适程度反应就表明了,我们的生活对环境温度是有明确且程度不同的生物需求。
我们以天气温度的角度分析COVID-19的数据的时候,会发现一些有意思的特例,比如新加坡的康复情况很好,这个可以解释为天气温度较好和患者年龄平均年龄普遍不高。但是冰岛作为一个疫情发生时的寒冷国家,不符合上述所说的天气温度规律,也取得了一个很好的成绩,假如冰岛的数据没有错误,我们或许能从冰岛找到针对疫情进行处理的好办法。
下面是针对2020年9月21日的CSSEGISandData的COVID19数据分析:
表格字段说明:
名称 | 说明 | 值 |
---|---|---|
0531Confirmed | 2020年5月31日确诊数 | |
0531Deaths | 2020年5月31日死亡数 | |
0531Recovered | 2020年5月31日康复数 | |
Before-EC | 2020年5月31日的估计置信度 | =(0531Deaths+0531Recovered)/0531Confirmed |
Before-EDR | 2020年5月31日的估计死亡率 | =0531Deaths/(0531Deaths+0531Recovered) |
Before-ERR | 2020年5月31日的估计康复率 | =0531Recovered/(0531Deaths+0531Recovered) |
0921Confirmed | 2020年9月21日确诊数 | |
0921Deaths | 2020年9月21日死亡数 | |
0921Recovered | 2020年9月21日康复数 | |
After-EC | 2020年6月1日至2020年9月21日的估计置信度 | =(0921Confirmed-0921Deaths-0921Recovered)/(0921Confirmed-0531Deaths-0531Recovered) |
After-EDR | 2020年6月1日至2020年9月21日的估计死亡率 | =(0921Deaths-0531Deaths)/(0921Deaths+0921Recovered-0531Deaths-0531Recovered) |
After-ERR | 2020年6月1日至2020年9月21日的估计康复率 | =(0921Recovered-0531Recovered)/(0921Deaths+0921Recovered-0531Deaths-0531Recovered) |
ERR-Changed | 估计康复率提升率 | 之后的估计康复率减去之前的估计康复率 |
注:最好针对After-EC和Before-EC都较高且是大数据的地区进行分析,尤其针对那些Before-EC小于20%的数据进行分析的价值不大,有的数据肯定是有误的,这个也需要考虑。
下面是国家确诊数超过1000,按After-EC从高往低排序情况:
Name | 0531Confirmed | 0531Deaths | 0531Recovered | Before-EC | Before-EDR | Before-ERR | 0921Confirmed | 0921Deaths | 0921Recovered | After-EC | After-EDR | After-ERR | ERR-Changed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Djibouti | 3194 | 22 | 1286 | 40.95% | 1.68% | 98.32% | 5404 | 61 | 5336 | 99.83% | 0.95% | 99.05% | 0.73% |
Singapore | 34366 | 23 | 20727 | 60.38% | 0.11% | 99.89% | 57606 | 27 | 57241 | 99.08% | 0.01% | 99.99% | 0.10% |
Ghana | 7768 | 35 | 2540 | 33.15% | 1.36% | 98.64% | 46062 | 297 | 45258 | 98.83% | 0.61% | 99.39% | 0.75% |
Zambia | 1057 | 7 | 779 | 74.36% | 0.89% | 99.11% | 14175 | 331 | 13629 | 98.39% | 2.46% | 97.54% | -1.57% |
Pakistan | 66457 | 1395 | 24131 | 38.41% | 5.47% | 94.53% | 306886 | 6424 | 293159 | 97.40% | 1.84% | 98.16% | 3.63% |
Qatar | 55262 | 36 | 25839 | 46.82% | 0.14% | 99.86% | 123604 | 211 | 120540 | 97.08% | 0.18% | 99.82% | -0.05% |
Congo (Kinshasa) | 2966 | 69 | 428 | 16.76% | 13.88% | 86.12% | 10519 | 271 | 9952 | 97.05% | 2.08% | 97.92% | 11.81% |
Belarus | 41658 | 229 | 17964 | 43.67% | 1.26% | 98.74% | 75898 | 785 | 73301 | 96.86% | 0.99% | 99.01% | 0.26% |
Cote d’Ivoire | 2799 | 33 | 1385 | 50.66% | 2.33% | 97.67% | 19327 | 120 | 18630 | 96.78% | 0.50% | 99.50% | 1.83% |
Chile | 94858 | 997 | 40431 | 43.67% | 2.41% | 97.59% | 447468 | 12298 | 421111 | 96.54% | 2.88% | 97.12% | -0.48% |
Kazakhstan | 10382 | 38 | 5220 | 50.65% | 0.72% | 99.28% | 107374 | 1671 | 102064 | 96.44% | 1.66% | 98.34% | -0.94% |
Mexico | 14334 | 1148 | 11213 | 86.24% | 9.29% | 90.71% | 77232 | 8964 | 65162 | 95.21% | 12.65% | 87.35% | -3.37% |
Azerbaijan | 5246 | 61 | 3327 | 64.58% | 1.80% | 98.20% | 39280 | 576 | 36836 | 94.80% | 1.51% | 98.49% | 0.29% |
Saudi Arabia | 83384 | 480 | 58883 | 71.19% | 0.81% | 99.19% | 330246 | 4512 | 311499 | 94.74% | 1.57% | 98.43% | -0.76% |
China | 84128 | 4638 | 79386 | 99.88% | 5.52% | 94.48% | 90381 | 4737 | 85257 | 93.91% | 1.66% | 98.34% | 3.86% |
Kyrgyzstan | 1722 | 16 | 1113 | 65.56% | 1.42% | 98.58% | 45471 | 1063 | 41682 | 93.85% | 2.52% | 97.48% | -1.10% |
Cameroon | 5904 | 191 | 3568 | 63.67% | 5.08% | 94.92% | 20598 | 416 | 19124 | 93.72% | 1.43% | 98.57% | 3.66% |
Guinea | 3706 | 23 | 2030 | 55.40% | 1.12% | 98.88% | 10344 | 65 | 9757 | 93.70% | 0.54% | 99.46% | 0.58% |
Egypt | 23449 | 913 | 5693 | 28.17% | 13.82% | 86.18% | 102141 | 5787 | 90332 | 93.70% | 5.45% | 94.55% | 8.38% |
Uzbekistan | 3546 | 14 | 2783 | 78.88% | 0.50% | 99.50% | 52070 | 437 | 48369 | 93.38% | 0.92% | 99.08% | -0.42% |
Sri Lanka | 1620 | 10 | 781 | 48.83% | 1.26% | 98.74% | 3299 | 13 | 3100 | 92.58% | 0.13% | 99.87% | 1.14% |
Oman | 10423 | 42 | 2396 | 23.39% | 1.72% | 98.28% | 94051 | 853 | 85781 | 91.90% | 0.96% | 99.04% | 0.76% |
South Africa | 30967 | 643 | 16116 | 54.12% | 3.84% | 96.16% | 661936 | 15992 | 591208 | 91.52% | 2.60% | 97.40% | 1.24% |
Equatorial Guinea | 1306 | 12 | 200 | 16.23% | 5.66% | 94.34% | 5002 | 83 | 4509 | 91.44% | 1.62% | 98.38% | 4.04% |
Guatemala | 4739 | 102 | 706 | 17.05% | 12.62% | 87.38% | 85681 | 3124 | 75172 | 91.30% | 3.90% | 96.10% | 8.72% |
Armenia | 8927 | 127 | 3317 | 38.58% | 3.69% | 96.31% | 47552 | 936 | 42637 | 90.98% | 2.02% | 97.98% | 1.67% |
Kuwait | 26192 | 205 | 10156 | 39.56% | 1.98% | 98.02% | 99964 | 585 | 90930 | 90.57% | 0.47% | 99.53% | 1.51% |
Australia | 7192 | 103 | 6614 | 93.40% | 1.53% | 98.47% | 26942 | 854 | 24155 | 90.44% | 4.11% | 95.89% | -2.57% |
Gabon | 2655 | 17 | 722 | 27.83% | 2.30% | 97.70% | 8704 | 54 | 7875 | 90.27% | 0.51% | 99.49% | 1.79% |
Brazil | 498440 | 28834 | 200892 | 46.09% | 12.55% | 87.45% | 4558040 | 137272 | 3993432 | 90.13% | 2.78% | 97.22% | 9.77% |
Japan | 16716 | 894 | 14267 | 90.70% | 5.90% | 94.10% | 79462 | 1518 | 70970 | 89.15% | 1.09% | 98.91% | 4.81% |
Bahrain | 10793 | 17 | 5826 | 54.14% | 0.29% | 99.71% | 65752 | 224 | 58626 | 88.48% | 0.39% | 99.61% | -0.10% |
Canada | 91681 | 7159 | 48517 | 60.73% | 12.86% | 87.14% | 147583 | 9279 | 127684 | 88.44% | 2.61% | 97.39% | 10.25% |
Ecuador | 38571 | 3334 | 19190 | 58.40% | 14.80% | 85.20% | 126711 | 11095 | 102852 | 87.75% | 8.49% | 91.51% | 6.31% |
Iran | 148950 | 7734 | 116827 | 83.63% | 6.21% | 93.79% | 425481 | 24478 | 361523 | 86.88% | 6.40% | 93.60% | -0.20% |
Afghanistan | 14525 | 249 | 1303 | 10.69% | 16.04% | 83.96% | 39074 | 1444 | 32576 | 86.53% | 3.68% | 96.32% | 12.36% |
Colombia | 26734 | 891 | 6935 | 29.27% | 11.39% | 88.61% | 770435 | 24397 | 640900 | 86.21% | 3.58% | 96.42% | 7.81% |
North Macedonia | 2164 | 131 | 1535 | 76.99% | 7.86% | 92.14% | 16780 | 700 | 13949 | 85.90% | 4.38% | 95.62% | 3.48% |
Nigeria | 9855 | 273 | 2856 | 31.75% | 8.72% | 91.28% | 57437 | 1100 | 48674 | 85.89% | 1.77% | 98.23% | 6.95% |
Maldives | 1672 | 5 | 406 | 24.58% | 1.22% | 98.78% | 9770 | 34 | 8390 | 85.62% | 0.36% | 99.64% | 0.85% |
United Arab Emirates | 33896 | 262 | 17546 | 52.54% | 1.47% | 98.53% | 85595 | 405 | 75086 | 85.09% | 0.25% | 99.75% | 1.22% |
Venezuela | 1459 | 14 | 302 | 21.66% | 4.43% | 95.57% | 67443 | 555 | 56726 | 84.86% | 0.95% | 99.05% | 3.48% |
Tajikistan | 3807 | 47 | 1865 | 50.22% | 2.46% | 97.54% | 9388 | 73 | 8152 | 84.44% | 0.41% | 99.59% | 2.05% |
Croatia | 2246 | 103 | 2063 | 96.44% | 4.76% | 95.24% | 14992 | 253 | 12737 | 84.39% | 1.39% | 98.61% | 3.37% |
Somalia | 1916 | 73 | 327 | 20.88% | 18.25% | 81.75% | 3465 | 98 | 2877 | 84.01% | 0.97% | 99.03% | 17.28% |
Turkey | 163103 | 4515 | 126984 | 80.62% | 3.43% | 96.57% | 304610 | 7574 | 268435 | 83.48% | 2.12% | 97.88% | 1.32% |
Cuba | 2025 | 83 | 1795 | 92.74% | 4.42% | 95.58% | 5141 | 116 | 4462 | 82.75% | 1.22% | 98.78% | 3.20% |
Morocco | 7780 | 204 | 5401 | 72.04% | 3.64% | 96.36% | 103119 | 1855 | 84158 | 82.46% | 2.05% | 97.95% | 1.59% |
Iraq | 6179 | 195 | 3110 | 53.49% | 5.90% | 94.10% | 322856 | 8625 | 258075 | 82.43% | 3.20% | 96.80% | 2.70% |
Korea, South | 11468 | 270 | 10405 | 93.09% | 2.53% | 97.47% | 23106 | 388 | 20441 | 81.68% | 1.16% | 98.84% | 1.37% |
Peru | 155671 | 4371 | 66447 | 45.49% | 6.17% | 93.83% | 768895 | 31369 | 607837 | 81.42% | 4.75% | 95.25% | 1.42% |
India | 181827 | 5185 | 86936 | 50.66% | 5.63% | 94.37% | 5487580 | 87882 | 4396399 | 81.40% | 1.88% | 98.12% | 3.75% |
Argentina | 16214 | 528 | 4788 | 32.79% | 9.93% | 90.07% | 640147 | 13482 | 508563 | 81.40% | 2.51% | 97.49% | 7.43% |
Romania | 19133 | 1259 | 13046 | 74.77% | 8.80% | 91.20% | 113589 | 4458 | 90649 | 81.38% | 3.96% | 96.04% | 4.84% |
Russia | 396575 | 4555 | 167469 | 43.38% | 2.65% | 97.35% | 1105048 | 19420 | 909026 | 81.07% | 1.97% | 98.03% | 0.68% |
Philippines | 17224 | 950 | 3808 | 27.62% | 19.97% | 80.03% | 290190 | 4999 | 230233 | 80.75% | 1.76% | 98.24% | 18.21% |
Poland | 23571 | 1061 | 11016 | 51.24% | 8.79% | 91.21% | 79988 | 2298 | 64604 | 80.73% | 2.26% | 97.74% | 6.53% |
El Salvador | 2395 | 46 | 1031 | 44.97% | 4.27% | 95.73% | 27798 | 812 | 21782 | 80.52% | 3.56% | 96.44% | 0.71% |
New Zealand | 1504 | 22 | 1481 | 99.93% | 1.46% | 98.54% | 1815 | 25 | 1729 | 80.45% | 1.20% | 98.80% | 0.27% |
Malaysia | 7762 | 115 | 6330 | 83.03% | 1.78% | 98.22% | 10276 | 130 | 9395 | 80.40% | 0.49% | 99.51% | 1.30% |
Thailand | 3077 | 57 | 2961 | 98.08% | 1.89% | 98.11% | 3511 | 59 | 3343 | 77.89% | 0.52% | 99.48% | 1.37% |
Haiti | 1865 | 41 | 24 | 3.49% | 63.08% | 36.92% | 8624 | 221 | 6482 | 77.56% | 2.71% | 97.29% | 60.37% |
Panama | 13018 | 330 | 9414 | 74.85% | 3.39% | 96.61% | 106810 | 2272 | 82320 | 77.11% | 2.59% | 97.41% | 0.79% |
Senegal | 3535 | 42 | 1761 | 51.00% | 2.33% | 97.67% | 14738 | 302 | 11458 | 76.98% | 2.61% | 97.39% | -0.28% |
Germany | 183189 | 8530 | 164908 | 94.68% | 4.92% | 95.08% | 275560 | 9390 | 242656 | 76.97% | 1.09% | 98.91% | 3.82% |
Mali | 1250 | 76 | 696 | 61.76% | 9.84% | 90.16% | 3024 | 128 | 2377 | 76.95% | 3.00% | 97.00% | 6.84% |
Luxembourg | 4016 | 110 | 3815 | 97.73% | 2.80% | 97.20% | 7916 | 124 | 6839 | 76.12% | 0.46% | 99.54% | 2.34% |
Indonesia | 25773 | 1573 | 7015 | 33.32% | 18.32% | 81.68% | 248852 | 9677 | 180797 | 75.70% | 4.46% | 95.54% | 13.86% |
Dominican Republic | 16908 | 498 | 9557 | 59.47% | 4.95% | 95.05% | 108783 | 2054 | 82274 | 75.23% | 2.09% | 97.91% | 2.86% |
Moldova | 8098 | 291 | 4455 | 58.61% | 6.13% | 93.87% | 46796 | 1211 | 35018 | 74.87% | 2.92% | 97.08% | 3.21% |
Bulgaria | 2499 | 139 | 1064 | 48.14% | 11.55% | 88.45% | 19014 | 765 | 13727 | 74.61% | 4.71% | 95.29% | 6.84% |
Bolivia | 9592 | 310 | 889 | 12.50% | 25.85% | 74.15% | 130986 | 7654 | 90240 | 74.50% | 7.60% | 92.40% | 18.26% |
Bangladesh | 44608 | 610 | 9375 | 22.38% | 6.11% | 93.89% | 350621 | 4979 | 258717 | 74.48% | 1.72% | 98.28% | 4.39% |
Nepal | 1401 | 6 | 219 | 16.06% | 2.67% | 97.33% | 65276 | 427 | 47238 | 72.93% | 0.89% | 99.11% | 1.78% |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2494 | 153 | 1831 | 79.55% | 7.71% | 92.29% | 25521 | 770 | 18109 | 71.78% | 3.65% | 96.35% | 4.06% |
Kosovo | 1064 | 30 | 829 | 80.73% | 3.49% | 96.51% | 12683 | 488 | 8788 | 71.19% | 5.44% | 94.56% | -1.95% |
Algeria | 9267 | 646 | 5549 | 66.85% | 10.43% | 89.57% | 50023 | 1679 | 35180 | 69.96% | 3.37% | 96.63% | 7.06% |
Israel | 17012 | 284 | 14811 | 88.73% | 1.88% | 98.12% | 190929 | 1273 | 136780 | 69.93% | 0.80% | 99.20% | 1.08% |
Finland | 6826 | 316 | 5500 | 85.20% | 5.43% | 94.57% | 9046 | 341 | 7700 | 68.89% | 1.12% | 98.88% | 4.31% |
Latvia | 1065 | 24 | 745 | 72.21% | 3.12% | 96.88% | 1526 | 36 | 1248 | 68.03% | 2.33% | 97.67% | 0.79% |
Kenya | 1888 | 63 | 464 | 27.91% | 11.95% | 88.05% | 37079 | 650 | 23949 | 65.86% | 2.44% | 97.56% | 9.52% |
Austria | 16685 | 668 | 15520 | 97.02% | 4.13% | 95.87% | 38658 | 767 | 29516 | 62.73% | 0.70% | 99.30% | 3.42% |
Switzerland | 30845 | 1919 | 28400 | 98.29% | 6.33% | 93.67% | 50378 | 2050 | 40500 | 60.98% | 1.07% | 98.93% | 5.26% |
Estonia | 1865 | 67 | 1622 | 90.56% | 3.97% | 96.03% | 2941 | 64 | 2379 | 60.22% | -0.40% | 100.40% | 4.36% |
Denmark | 11633 | 571 | 10327 | 93.68% | 5.24% | 94.76% | 23323 | 640 | 17738 | 60.20% | 0.92% | 99.08% | 4.32% |
Italy | 232664 | 33340 | 155633 | 81.22% | 17.64% | 82.36% | 299506 | 35724 | 218703 | 59.22% | 3.64% | 96.36% | 14.00% |
Iceland | 1806 | 10 | 1794 | 99.89% | 0.55% | 99.45% | 2377 | 10 | 2125 | 57.77% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 0.55% |
Slovenia | 1473 | 108 | 1357 | 99.46% | 7.37% | 92.63% | 4470 | 142 | 3048 | 57.40% | 1.97% | 98.03% | 5.40% |
Portugal | 32203 | 1396 | 19186 | 63.91% | 6.78% | 93.22% | 69200 | 1920 | 45736 | 55.69% | 1.94% | 98.06% | 4.85% |
Albania | 1122 | 33 | 857 | 79.32% | 3.71% | 96.29% | 12535 | 364 | 6995 | 55.55% | 5.12% | 94.88% | -1.41% |
Norway | 8437 | 236 | 7727 | 94.38% | 2.96% | 97.04% | 13005 | 267 | 10371 | 53.05% | 1.16% | 98.84% | 1.80% |
Sudan | 4800 | 262 | 1272 | 31.96% | 17.08% | 82.92% | 13555 | 836 | 6760 | 50.43% | 9.47% | 90.53% | 7.61% |
Guinea-Bissau | 1256 | 8 | 42 | 3.98% | 16.00% | 84.00% | 2303 | 39 | 1127 | 49.53% | 2.78% | 97.22% | 13.22% |
Czechia | 9230 | 319 | 6546 | 74.38% | 4.65% | 95.35% | 50764 | 522 | 25425 | 43.47% | 1.06% | 98.94% | 3.58% |
Ukraine | 23204 | 696 | 9311 | 43.13% | 6.96% | 93.04% | 182900 | 3652 | 81131 | 43.25% | 3.95% | 96.05% | 3.00% |
Ethiopia | 1063 | 8 | 208 | 20.32% | 3.70% | 96.30% | 69709 | 1108 | 28634 | 42.49% | 3.73% | 96.27% | -0.02% |
Slovakia | 1521 | 28 | 1356 | 90.99% | 2.02% | 97.98% | 6756 | 39 | 3571 | 41.44% | 0.49% | 99.51% | 1.53% |
Lebanon | 1191 | 26 | 708 | 61.63% | 3.54% | 96.46% | 29987 | 307 | 12507 | 41.29% | 2.33% | 97.67% | 1.22% |
Lithuania | 1670 | 70 | 1229 | 77.78% | 5.39% | 94.61% | 3814 | 87 | 2199 | 39.24% | 1.72% | 98.28% | 3.67% |
Costa Rica | 1047 | 10 | 658 | 63.80% | 1.50% | 98.50% | 65602 | 745 | 25127 | 38.81% | 2.92% | 97.08% | -1.42% |
US | 1770165 | 103776 | 416461 | 29.39% | 19.95% | 80.05% | 6856884 | 199865 | 2615949 | 36.23% | 4.19% | 95.81% | 15.76% |
Honduras | 5094 | 201 | 536 | 14.47% | 27.27% | 72.73% | 72075 | 2204 | 22611 | 33.75% | 8.32% | 91.68% | 18.95% |
Tunisia | 1076 | 48 | 950 | 92.75% | 4.81% | 95.19% | 11260 | 164 | 2386 | 15.12% | 7.47% | 92.53% | -2.66% |
Ireland | 24929 | 1651 | 22089 | 95.23% | 6.95% | 93.05% | 33121 | 1792 | 23364 | 15.09% | 9.96% | 90.04% | -3.00% |
Hungary | 3867 | 524 | 2142 | 68.94% | 19.65% | 80.35% | 18866 | 686 | 4401 | 14.94% | 6.69% | 93.31% | 12.96% |
Belgium | 58186 | 9453 | 15769 | 43.35% | 37.48% | 62.52% | 103392 | 9950 | 18977 | 4.74% | 13.41% | 86.59% | 24.06% |
France | 185616 | 28720 | 66051 | 51.06% | 30.30% | 69.70% | 473974 | 31174 | 77254 | 3.60% | 17.97% | 82.03% | 12.34% |
Netherlands | 46257 | 5951 | 178 | 13.25% | 97.10% | 2.90% | 100491 | 6327 | 2993 | 3.38% | 11.78% | 88.22% | 85.31% |
United Kingdom | 272826 | 38376 | 1187 | 14.50% | 97.00% | 3.00% | 401122 | 41877 | 2228 | 1.26% | 77.08% | 22.92% | 19.92% |
Greece | 2915 | 175 | 1374 | 53.14% | 11.30% | 88.70% | 15595 | 344 | 1347 | 1.01% | 119.01% | -19.01% | -107.72% |
Spain | 239228 | 27125 | 150376 | 74.20% | 15.28% | 84.72% | 671468 | 30663 | 150376 | 0.72% | 100.00% | 0.00% | -84.72% |
Sweden | 37113 | 4395 | 4971 | 25.24% | 46.93% | 53.07% | 88237 | 5865 | 0 | -4.44% | -41.99% | 141.99% | 88.91% |
Serbia | 11381 | 242 | 6606 | 60.17% | 3.53% | 96.47% | 32938 | 743 | 0 | -23.40% | -8.21% | 108.21% | 11.74% |
下面是美国各地区确诊数超过1000,按After-EC从高往低排序情况:
Name | 0531Confirmed | 0531Deaths | 0531Recovered | Before-EC | Before-EDR | Before-ERR | 0921Confirmed | 0921Deaths | 0921Recovered | After-EC | After-EDR | After-ERR | ERR-Changed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire | 4492 | 238 | 2802 | 67.68% | 7.83% | 92.17% | 7952 | 438 | 7201 | 93.63% | 4.35% | 95.65% | 3.48% |
Mississippi | 15229 | 723 | 9401 | 66.48% | 7.14% | 92.86% | 93556 | 2810 | 85327 | 93.50% | 2.68% | 97.32% | 4.47% |
Massachusetts | 96301 | 6768 | 7.03% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 127796 | 9317 | 109397 | 92.50% | 2.28% | 97.72% | ||
Louisiana | 39577 | 2786 | 28700 | 79.56% | 8.85% | 91.15% | 161462 | 5377 | 145570 | 91.91% | 2.17% | 97.83% | 6.68% |
North Carolina | 27794 | 929 | 14954 | 57.15% | 5.85% | 94.15% | 194355 | 3247 | 176422 | 91.77% | 1.42% | 98.58% | 4.43% |
Tennessee | 22566 | 364 | 15193 | 68.94% | 2.34% | 97.66% | 184409 | 2233 | 166674 | 90.82% | 1.22% | 98.78% | 1.12% |
Minnesota | 24190 | 1036 | 17864 | 78.13% | 5.48% | 94.52% | 90942 | 2021 | 82174 | 90.63% | 1.51% | 98.49% | 3.97% |
Arkansas | 7013 | 133 | 5166 | 75.56% | 2.51% | 97.49% | 76364 | 1197 | 66934 | 88.41% | 1.69% | 98.31% | 0.82% |
Ohio | 35033 | 2149 | 6.13% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 145165 | 4623 | 123423 | 88.03% | 1.97% | 98.03% | ||
Texas | 62675 | 1652 | 40068 | 66.57% | 3.96% | 96.04% | 734778 | 15127 | 611856 | 84.45% | 2.30% | 97.70% | 1.66% |
Wisconsin | 18230 | 588 | 11338 | 65.42% | 4.93% | 95.07% | 102498 | 1244 | 86822 | 84.07% | 0.86% | 99.14% | 4.07% |
Maine | 2282 | 89 | 1505 | 69.85% | 5.58% | 94.42% | 5106 | 140 | 4384 | 83.43% | 1.74% | 98.26% | 3.84% |
Oklahoma | 6418 | 334 | 5435 | 89.89% | 5.79% | 94.21% | 77908 | 948 | 64941 | 83.34% | 1.02% | 98.98% | 4.77% |
Indiana | 34211 | 2125 | 6.21% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 112027 | 3512 | 88173 | 81.49% | 1.55% | 98.45% | ||
District of Columbia | 8717 | 462 | 1100 | 17.92% | 29.58% | 70.42% | 14978 | 621 | 11856 | 81.36% | 1.46% | 98.54% | 28.12% |
South Dakota | 4960 | 62 | 3805 | 77.96% | 1.60% | 98.40% | 18869 | 202 | 15777 | 80.74% | 1.16% | 98.84% | 0.45% |
North Dakota | 2554 | 60 | 1943 | 78.43% | 3.00% | 97.00% | 18244 | 193 | 14841 | 80.24% | 1.02% | 98.98% | 1.97% |
Utah | 9533 | 112 | 5995 | 64.06% | 1.83% | 98.17% | 64394 | 441 | 51660 | 78.91% | 0.72% | 99.28% | 1.12% |
Pennsylvania | 75697 | 5537 | 47133 | 69.58% | 10.51% | 89.49% | 155693 | 7985 | 123665 | 76.66% | 3.10% | 96.90% | 7.41% |
Nebraska | 13905 | 170 | 1.22% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 41388 | 452 | 30509 | 74.70% | 0.92% | 99.08% | ||
West Virginia | 1989 | 75 | 1290 | 68.63% | 5.49% | 94.51% | 14181 | 315 | 10317 | 72.31% | 2.59% | 97.41% | 2.90% |
Iowa | 19244 | 531 | 11019 | 60.02% | 4.60% | 95.40% | 81007 | 1284 | 57942 | 68.64% | 1.58% | 98.42% | 3.02% |
Michigan | 56969 | 5464 | 38099 | 76.47% | 12.54% | 87.46% | 129662 | 6981 | 90216 | 62.29% | 2.83% | 97.17% | 9.71% |
New Mexico | 7624 | 351 | 2728 | 40.39% | 11.40% | 88.60% | 27683 | 851 | 15412 | 53.58% | 3.79% | 96.21% | 7.61% |
Idaho | 2803 | 82 | 2225 | 82.30% | 3.55% | 96.45% | 37901 | 447 | 20304 | 51.82% | 1.98% | 98.02% | 1.58% |
Alabama | 17359 | 618 | 9355 | 57.45% | 6.20% | 93.80% | 145780 | 2439 | 61232 | 39.54% | 3.39% | 96.61% | 2.81% |
Delaware | 9422 | 361 | 5205 | 59.07% | 6.49% | 93.51% | 19667 | 627 | 10376 | 38.56% | 4.89% | 95.11% | 1.59% |
South Carolina | 11394 | 487 | 6459 | 60.96% | 7.01% | 92.99% | 138124 | 3212 | 51431 | 36.36% | 5.71% | 94.29% | 1.30% |
Arizona | 19258 | 904 | 4657 | 28.88% | 16.26% | 83.74% | 214251 | 5478 | 33946 | 16.23% | 13.51% | 86.49% | 2.75% |
Kentucky | 9704 | 431 | 3231 | 37.74% | 11.77% | 88.23% | 61917 | 1112 | 11283 | 14.99% | 7.80% | 92.20% | 3.97% |
Oregon | 4185 | 153 | 2137 | 54.72% | 6.68% | 93.32% | 30995 | 529 | 5431 | 12.79% | 10.25% | 89.75% | -3.56% |
Virginia | 43611 | 1370 | 5745 | 16.31% | 19.26% | 80.74% | 141022 | 3019 | 16903 | 9.56% | 12.88% | 87.12% | 6.38% |
New Jersey | 159608 | 11634 | 26301 | 23.77% | 30.67% | 69.33% | 200154 | 16069 | 34672 | 7.89% | 34.63% | 65.37% | -3.96% |
Rhode Island | 14819 | 711 | 1225 | 13.06% | 36.73% | 63.27% | 23932 | 1097 | 2268 | 6.50% | 27.01% | 72.99% | 9.71% |
Connecticut | 42022 | 3912 | 7127 | 26.27% | 35.44% | 64.56% | 56024 | 4495 | 9204 | 5.91% | 21.92% | 78.08% | 13.52% |
Colorado | 26084 | 1443 | 3859 | 20.33% | 27.22% | 72.78% | 65379 | 2018 | 6291 | 5.01% | 19.12% | 80.88% | 8.09% |
Maryland | 52015 | 2509 | 3649 | 11.84% | 40.74% | 59.26% | 120568 | 3883 | 7378 | 4.46% | 26.93% | 73.07% | 13.82% |
New York | 369660 | 29710 | 65609 | 25.79% | 31.17% | 68.83% | 450473 | 33092 | 76218 | 3.94% | 24.17% | 75.83% | 7.00% |
Nevada | 8517 | 417 | 428 | 9.92% | 49.35% | 50.65% | 76036 | 1531 | 2026 | 3.61% | 41.08% | 58.92% | 8.27% |
Kansas | 9690 | 215 | 547 | 7.86% | 28.22% | 71.78% | 53627 | 601 | 1970 | 3.42% | 21.34% | 78.66% | 6.88% |
Florida | 55424 | 2447 | 4.42% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 685439 | 13317 | 1.59% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
Georgia | 46331 | 2004 | 4.33% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 307339 | 6604 | 1.51% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
California | 109895 | 4144 | 3.77% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 790096 | 15056 | 1.39% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
Illinois | 118917 | 5330 | 4.48% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 277920 | 8693 | 1.23% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
Washington | 21349 | 1118 | 5.24% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 82730 | 2049 | 1.14% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
Puerto Rico | 3718 | 133 | 3.58% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 42476 | 609 | 1.12% | 100.00% | 0.00% | |||
Missouri | 13298 | 774 | 5.82% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 115537 | 1838 | 0.93% | 100.00% | 0.00% |